Showing posts with label indonesia oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label indonesia oil. Show all posts

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Live Oak: Oil company donates sapling to its Price Canyon neighbor

Crew helps plant tree at historic park

By TPR Staff

The Price Historical Park was the recent recipient of a coastal live oak, courtesy of Plains Exploration and Production Co., which operates the Arroyo Grande Oil Field in Price Canyon.

Price Canyon, east of Pismo Beach city limits, is also home to the Price Historical Park, where the Price and Meherin houses — both historical structures — are located.

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The fledgling oak tree was delivered to the Price Historical Park by Plains Exploration and Production Co. (PXP) on Thursday, May 15, when the tree was also planted at the site.

Nick Stephenson, of Pro-Tech Landscape, and a landscape crew, used a jackhammer to break up the hard dirt at the historical park so the coastal live oak could be put in the ground.

Members of the Friends of Price House board of directors, including Cynthia Brown and board president Effie McDermott, along with Paul DeLorenzo, PXP senior production foremen at the Arroyo Grande Oil Field, also participated in the planting.

The Price Historical Park is open to the public from noon to 3 p.m. on the first and third Sundays of the month. Docent-led tours of the Price Anniversary House start at 1 p.m.

For more information about the Price Historical Park, contact Effie McDermott at 773-4854

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Oil retreats from record while Asian shares gain

By Rafael Nam




HONG KONG (Reuters) - Oil prices retreated on Tuesday as some
investors saw a recent rally to record highs as excessive, while Asian
shares gained as banks were bolstered by further signals the worst of
the credit crisis may now be over.




Trading was subdued for the most part, with the dollar steadying
against the yen ahead of April U.S. retail sales data due out later in
the day, as well as a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.




The earthquake on Monday that killed nearly 10,000 people in southwest China hit shares in Shanghai .SSEC,
though trading was suspended in companies directly affected. Still, it
failed to have an impact elsewhere in the region amid expectations the
economic fallout will be limited.




Inflationary pressures from rising food and energy costs, and
further fallout from the global credit crisis, have been among the most
pressing concerns to investors in Asia this year, and despite a more
positive tone, little appeared to change on Tuesday.




Analysts attributed the fall in crude futures mainly to booking
profits after prices set a string of records last week, hitting an
all-time peak of $126.40 on Monday, and bringing its gains so far this
month to around 15 percent.




The surge has been led by concerns over supply disruptions in the North Sea and Nigeria.




"The pitch of the rise (of oil prices) has been very rapid since the
start of the month so it's about time that we saw some profit-taking,"
said Tatsuo Kageyama, an analyst at Kanetsu Asset Management in Tokyo.

source:http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idUKT33837720080513

The Reason Behind High Oil Prices

One of the things I think is very important to realize is that
the growth in the world oil consumption is not that strong." —David
Kelly, chief market strategist, J.P. Morgan Funds;
The Washington Post, May 4, 2008
"...There is substantial evidence that the large amount of

speculation in the current market has significantly increased [oil]
prices." —U.S. Senate Staff Report,
The Role of Market Speculation in Rising Oil and Gas Prices, June 27, 2006



On May 13, the price of a barrel of oil briefly hit a record of $126.98
on the New York Mercantile Exchange The reason was ostensibly that Iran
was cutting oil production. But there is no gas shortage. So why are
prices still going up?

In late April the American Association of Petroleum Geologists held
its annual invitation-only conference in Dallas for, as my source put
it, "the bigwigs" of the energy industry. During this meeting,
influential and knowledgeable CEOs reached the consensus that "oil
prices will likely soon drop dramatically and the long-term price
increases will be in natural gas." Of course, despite the pedigrees of
those in attendance, their forming a consensus on the direction of
energy prices does not mean that it's written in stone or is even going
to happen. The group is clearly bullish on natural gas. But petroleum
keeps getting more expensive.

The energy executives' prediction about the future price for crude
oil had sound backing. Just a few days earlier, Lehman Brothers (LEH)
investment bank had said that this current oil pricing boom was quickly
coming to an end. Michael Waldron, the bank's chief oil strategist, was
quoted in Britain's Daily Telegraph on Apr. 24 as saying:
"[Oil supply] is outpacing demand growth." Waldron added, "Inventories
have been building since the beginning of the year. The Saudi
Khursaniya field has just opened, with 500,000 barrels a day of
production, and the new Khurais field will start next year with a
further 1.2 million b/d [barrels a day]."

Oil Falls for Second Day on Expectation of U.S. Inventory Build

By Christian Schmollinger

May 13 (Bloomberg) -- Oil fell in New York for a second day

on expectations that U.S. crude supplies probably gained for a
fourth week on falling demand in the world's largest consumer.
Crude supplies likely advanced by 2.5 million barrels to
325.6 million barrels in the week ended May 9, according to the
median of responses in a Bloomberg News survey. Gasoline and
distillate inventories are also expected to build. Indonesia and
Malaysia are considering reducing fuel subsidies as the cost of
maintaining them have risen as oil has climbed to a record.
``A build would be looked at as bearish especially on the
distillate side since the drawdown last week raised all the
concerns about tightness,'' said Victor Shum, senior principal
at Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore. ``If more of the countries
in Asia raise fuel product prices, reducing subsidies, then we
may see demand in emerging markets slow down.''
Crude oil for June delivery fell as much as 97 cents, or
0.8 percent, to $123.26 a barrel in after-hours electronic
trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $123.32
at 12:03 p.m. Singapore time.

Yesterday, futures dropped $1.73, or 1.4 percent, to settle

at $124.23 a barrel, after earlier rising to $126.40, the
highest since trading began in 1983.

Oil has surged 12 percent since May 1 to reach the record
high, prompting concerns the price had climbed too far, too fast.
Crude prices are more than double what they were last year.

Brent crude oil for June settlement fell 71 cents, or 0.6
percent, to $122.20 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe
exchange at 11:53 a.m. Singapore time. The contract fell $2.49,
or 2 percent, to $122.91 a barrel yesterday. It touched a record
$125.90 on May 9.

Curve Flattens

There are signs that oil's rally may be slowing down as the

premiums between the first and second month Nymex futures have
narrowed. The June contract is now only 16 cents higher than
July, versus 50 cents a week ago and 81 cents on April 29.
June's price difference to December has closed up to $1.60 a
barrel against $3.18 a barrel on May 6.

Brent futures became cheaper closest to delivery for the
first time in about three months on May 9. The July contract is
now at a 37 premium to June against a 27 cent discount on May 6.

``This shows that there is plenty of crude,'' said Purvin &
Gertz's Shum. ``And if the inventory report shows builds across
the board that may further fuel the profit-taking activity.''

Gasoline inventories probably climbed 550,000 barrels from
211.9 million barrels, according to the analysts. Supplies of
distillate fuel, including diesel and heating oil, probably rose
1 million barrels from 105.7 million. All the analysts projected
a gain.

China Earthquake

China's strongest earthquake in 58 years may cut the
nation's energy demand as damaged power plants and transmission
lines force companies to idle generators.

About 5.5 gigawatts, almost 1 percent of the nation's
generation capacity, were idled in the provinces of Shaanxi and
Sichuan after yesterday's 7.9-magnitude earthquake, according to
a report by the official Xinhua News Agency, citing data from
State Grid Corp. of China. Sichuan, where the quake was focused,
lost 4 gigawatts of capacity.

China's oil imports, the third-highest in the world, fell
for the first time in 18 months in April as record crude prices
discouraged refiners from purchasing oil to turn into fuel for
sale at less than cost.

The earthquake, which killed almost 10,000 people, had its
epicenter 90 kilometers (56 miles) from the central city of
Chengdu, the capital of Sichuan province. State Grid Corp., the
nation's largest electricity distributor, said today it doesn't
expect further reports of major damage to the grid.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at
Christian.s@bloomberg.net.

IEA says global oil demand set to ease amid stockpiling

AFP, PARIS

Wednesday, May 14, 2008, Page 10

Record oil prices and a slowdown in advanced economies are set to curb
global oil demand despite growth in China and the Middle East, the
International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast yesterday, saying
stockpiling was a key factor.

Demand from emerging economies might be set back if and when
governments decide that fuel subsidies are unsustainable, the IEA said
in its monthly report.

It also provided figures showing a surge in production of biofuels.

On balance “despite continued strength in China and the Middle East, it
would seem that the risks to demand [for oil] remain on the downside,”
the IEA said, asking: “Do we need more oil?”

“While consumers may be adjusting to high oil prices, the full impact
of current high oil prices in excess of US$120 per barrel, if
sustained, has yet to be factored into either behavior or forecasts,”
it said.

“The most recent data and estimates suggest that the oil market should
have been in surplus for the past two months and should remain in that
position for the rest of 2008 — as long as OPEC maintains output at
current levels,” it said.

A driving factor in the surge of oil prices recently to a record of
US$125 per barrel was competition between users seeking to replenish
oil inventories and users buying oil to meet immediate demand.

By deciding not to address the matter of inventories until September,
OPEC had probably intended to send a message of stability to markets.

But it had created instead a perception that it was happy with a price
of US$100 a barrel or more and would not increase output.

This had ratcheted up the price baseline, the IEA surmised.

But, forecasting “further downward adjustments to demand,” the report
said that one such factor which might emerge was the unwinding of fuel
subsidies.

“Faced with the realization that high prices may be with us for some
time, several countries, such as Indonesia, are reassessing the
budgetary reality of sustaining oil price subsidies,” it said.

“It will not be easy to unwind them,” the IEA warned, saying that “many
countries are wary of civil unrest, and may therefore try to cushion
low-income earners with other payments.”

But “when such shifts do come, they could cause temporary downward shocks to demand.”

China, the IEA said, had recently decided to boost subsidies as a
response to shortages, but it said that the cost of this could be huge.

This story has been viewed 200 times.

Source: http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/worldbiz/archives/2008/05/14/2003411864





Protected Areas Used To Expand Indonesian Oil Palm Plantations

JAKARTA, May 12 Asia Pulse - The expansion of oil palm
plantations in the regency of Kapuas Hulu in Indonesia's West
Kalimantan has crossed the border into protected forests, the
semi official news agency Antara reported.

Expansion has entered the 200,000 hectare Heart Of Borneo,
which has been agreed to be preserved between three neighboring
countries Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei, said Haryono, the
coordinator for forest Communication Issue of the World Wide
Fund for Nature in West Kalimantan.

Nine subsidiaries of the Sinar Mas Group are believed to be
involved in clearing 160,000 hectares of forests bordering the
Betung Karihun National Park, Haryono said.

Kapuas Hulu has 1.63 million hectares of protected forests
and National Parks.

By the end of 2007, West Kalimantan has 400,000 hectares of
planted oil palm plantations said.

(ANTARA)

source:news.yahoo.com

Indonesia Mismanaged Its Oil Potential, Says Observer

JAKARTA, May 10
(Bernama) - Indonesia could have reaped great profits from the current
high world crude oil prices and not have plunged into its present
difficult situation, had it managed its oil potential well.


Oil industry observer Dr Kurtubi said the country's failure to
manage its oil wealth properly in the past few years had caused its
crude oil production to decline.



This in turn, he said, led to its dependence on oil imports which had now placed the country in a difficult position.


Kurtubi made the remarks in an interactive discussion on fuel oil
prices organised by the Regional Representatives Council (DPD) here
Saturday.


He said that as a result of the improper management of Indonesia's
oil potential, the government was now facing difficulties in
maintaining the state budget amid the sky-rocketing of crude prices in
the world market.


"Indonesia could have reaped huge profits from the world crude
price hikes but mismanagement of our oil potential has caused us to
face difficulties now," Kurtubi was quoted by Antara news agency.


He said Indonesia's daily current oil output was about 927,000
barrels. With this oil production level, it was difficult for Indonesia
not to import oil.


In the current situation where crude oil prices surged to around
US$125 a barrel, the government had to spend a large amount of funds to
import oil.


"If we want to be safe and gain profit from world crude price
hikes, we have to pump up at least 1.3 million barrels daily. If that
level is achieved, we will be safe in the face the world oil
turbulences," he said.


With an output of 1.3 million barrels per day, the government
could afford to spend Rp26 trillion to Rp30 trillion on fuel oil
subsidy, without having to raise domestic fuel oil prices, he said.


The government has decided to raise domestic fuel oil prices due
to the upward trend in global crude prices which was expected to cause
its fuel oil subsidy burden to rise well beyond the projected amount.


It was previously reported that the price of premium gasoline
would be raised from Rp4,500 to Rp6,000 per litre, diesel oil from
Rp4,300 to Rp5,500 per litre and kerosene from Rp2,000 to Rp2,300 per
litre. (RM1 = Rp2,800)

source: bernama.com

Leighton Wins $350 Million Indonesia Coal Mine Order (Update1)

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- Leighton Holdings Ltd., Australia's
largest construction company, won a $350 million contract for a
coal mine expansion in Indonesia, the largest exporter of the
fuel used by power stations.


The expansion of PT Mahakam Sumber Jaya's MSJ coal mine will
be completed in April 2013, the Sydney-based company said today
in a statement. Leighton also said its 45 percent owned Middle
Eastern venture, Al Habtoor Leighton Group, won a AED$1.2 billion
($327 million) contract from Mubadala Development Co. to design
and build a university campus in Abu Dhabi.


Chief Executive Officer Wal King is pursuing growth in Asia
and the Middle East to replenish his order book amid concerns a
global slowdown would curb available contracts. Indonesia is
building new mines as prices for the fuel almost doubled in the
past year.


``We have now won over $1 billion in new mining work in
Indonesia over the past 12 months, and we have identified a
number of additional opportunities,'' Leighton International
Managing Director David Savage said in the statement.


Leighton fell 7 cents, or 0.1 percent, to A$49.88 at 10:53
a.m. in Sydney trading. The shares have tumbled 23 percent since
reaching a record high of A$64.50 on Dec. 6.


Leighton has been operating the MSJ coal mine since 2004, it
said. Construction of the Paris Sorbonne University campus will
be complete in August 2010, Leighton said in a separate statement.


Spot prices for power station coal from Australia's
Newcastle port, the largest coal-export outlet in the world's
second-biggest exporter, more than doubled in the year to May 2,
according to McCloskey Group Ltd.


Leighton, a subsidiary of Germany's Hochtief AG, in April
won a A$1 billion order to develop and operate a mine at the
Chitarpur coal project in India's Jharkhand state for 20 years.
In March it won a A$720 million order to build pipelines for Oil
& Natural Gas Corp., India's biggest fuel producer.

source: nasdaq.com

Indonesia's 13 New Oilfields To Add 13,974 Billion/D Crude This Year - BP Migas

JAKARTA -(Dow Jones)- Indonesian upstream oil and gas regulator BP Migas late
Tuesday said that 13 new oil and gas fields are scheduled to start producing a
combined output of 13,974 barrels of crude oil per day and 303.32 million cubic
feet of gas per day later this year.


Among the fields is Total SA's Handil Phase-3 in Kalimantan, which will
produce 3,400 barrel/day of crude oil.


Another Total field, Bekapai, is scheduled to start producing 1,400 barrels/
day later this year, and its Tunu13A 1,003 barrels/day.


The Banyu Urip field, jointly developed by Exxon Mobil Corp and PT Pertamina,
is slated to start producing 1,700 barrels/day later this year.


The entire investment to develop the 13 fields amounts to $11.96 billion.


BP Migas Chairman Priyono said that the new fields will help the government
achieve its crude oil output target of 977,000 barrels/day this year.


The body's former chairman Kardaya Warnika told Dow Jones Newswires in March
that he is optimistic that the country's crude oil output would exceed one
million barrels a day this year.


The government is struggling to boost oil production after a lack of
significant investment in the upstream oil sector in the past several years sent
output to its lowest level in more than 30 years.


Indonesia turned a net oil importer earlier in the decade, and the government
is considering withdrawing its membership of the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries.


-By Deden Sudrajat, contributing to Dow Jones Newswires; 62-21 39831277; I-
Made.Sentana@dowjones.com

Indonesia's Economy Likely Grew More Than 6% for Sixth Quarter

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia's economy probably grew by
more than 6 percent for a sixth quarter as the lowest interest
rates in three years spurred spending on homes and cars.


Southeast Asia's biggest economy expanded 6.2 percent in
the three months to March 31 from a year earlier, about matching
the 6.25 percent expansion in the preceding period, according to
the median forecast of 17 economists in a Bloomberg News survey.
The Central Statistics Bureau will release the data in Jakarta
tomorrow.


Private consumption, which accounts for about 70 percent of
the economy, is likely to cool amid plans by the government to
raise fuel prices by as much as 30 percent to ease a subsidy
bill estimated at about 14 percent of total revenue. Spending
may also drop after Bank Indonesia raised borrowing costs for
the first time in more than two years to tame the fastest
inflation in 19 months.


Without a reduction in subsidies ``the long-term goals of
economic development are compromised by the near-term objective,
which is maintaining artificially low fuel prices,'' said Helmi
Arman
, an economist with PT Bank Danamon Indonesia in Jakarta.


Crude oil prices have risen 30 percent this year,
increasing the burden on the government, which has kept local
gasoline, diesel and kerosene prices steady for almost three
years by increasing subsidies.


Concern the deficit would widen partly explains why
Indonesian bonds have handed holders a loss of 8.8 percent this
year, the worst performance of 10 Asian local-currency debt
markets, according to indexes compiled by HSBC Holdings Plc.


Market Sentiment


The last time investors lost faith in the government's
ability to curtail its budget deficit in the face of rising fuel
costs, investors dumped Indonesian assets, causing the rupiah to
tumble 7 percent to a four-year low in August 2005.


``The most immediate thing to tackle is how to improve
market sentiment so that interest in Indonesian assets is re-
invigorated,'' said Arman.


Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said May 7 the
government may spend 14 trillion rupiah ($1.5 billion) this year
to compensate 19.1 million poor families for lost income after
it raises fuel prices.


A side-effect of the increase in fuel prices will be higher
inflation, which may damp economic growth further. Lehman
Brothers Holdings Inc. expects higher fuel prices to drive year-
on-year inflation to 12 percent in June from 8.2 percent in
April.


Interest Rates


``The longer inflation stays high, the greater the negative
impact on economic growth,'' said Robert Subbaraman, chief Asian
economist at Lehman Brothers Hong Kong, citing the effects of
lower profit margins and reduced spending power among consumers.


Subbaraman expects another 25 basis point increase in
interest rates in July. Bank Indonesia on May 6 raised its
policy rate to 8.25 percent, from 8 percent, the first increase
in more than two years.


Gross domestic product rose 2.1 percent in the three months
ended March 31 from the fourth quarter, nine economists in the
survey said.


Consumption, which includes construction spending, probably
expanded 5.5 percent in the first quarter. That about matched
the previous period, which was the fastest since the first
quarter of 2004.


Economic growth may slow to 6 percent in 2008 from 6.3
percent last year, Sri Mulyani said on May 6.


The following is a table of economists' forecasts


Indonesia GDP Estimates




----------------------------------------------------------<br />                                1Q      1Q<br />Firm                           YoY     QoQ    2007    2008<br />----------------------------------------------------------<br />Median                       6.20%   2.05%   6.00%   6.00%<br />Average                      6.21%   2.06%   5.95%   5.89%<br />High                         6.50%   2.32%   6.50%   6.50%<br />Low                          5.40%   1.70%   5.30%   4.80%<br />Number of Estimates             17      11      14      13<br />----------------------------------------------------------<br />Action Economics             6.30%   2.00%   5.30%   5.50%<br />Bank Intl Indonesia          6.13%   2.00%   6.00%   6.40%<br />Bank of America              6.20%      --   5.80%   5.50%<br />Bank Danamon                 6.11%   1.70%   5.90%   6.30%<br />Danareksa Securities         6.46%   2.32%   6.29%   5.91%<br />DBS Group                    6.20%   2.10%   6.30%   6.50%<br />HSBC                         6.50%      --   6.50%   5.30%<br />Ideaglobal                   6.20%      --   6.00%   6.00%<br />ING Groep NV                 6.30%   1.90%      --      --<br />JPMorgan Chase               6.00%      --      --      --<br />LippoBank                    6.18%   2.05%   5.60%   5.62%<br />Mandiri Securities           6.18%   2.00%   6.00%   6.10%<br />Nomura Securities            5.40%      --   5.30%   4.80%<br />Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia   6.48%   2.17%   6.40%   6.40%<br />Standard Chartered           6.30%   2.20%   6.00%   6.20%<br />Sumitomo Mitsui Banking      6.30%   2.20%   5.90%      --<br />UBS                          6.30%      --      --      --<br />----------------------------------------------------------<br /><br />--------------------------------------------------<br />                           Private            Govt<br />Firm                          Cons Exports   Spend<br />--------------------------------------------------<br />Median                       5.50%   8.00%   6.90%<br />Average                      5.50%  11.14%   6.65%<br />High                         6.11%  29.60%  17.70%<br />Low                          5.09%   3.80%  -2.50%<br />Number of Estimates             10      10       9<br />--------------------------------------------------<br />Action Economics             5.60%  15.00%      --<br />Bank Intl Indonesia          5.09%   7.86%   3.86%<br />Bank Danamon                 5.50%   7.20%   3.10%<br />Danareksa Securities         5.65%  15.74%   9.89%<br />DBS Group                    5.10%   8.10%   6.90%<br />LippoBank                    6.11%   6.24%   2.44%<br />Nomura Securities            5.10%   3.80%   7.50%<br />Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia   5.50%  29.60%  -2.50%<br />Standard Chartered           5.30%   7.90%  17.70%<br />Sumitomo Mitsui Banking      6.00%  10.00%  11.00%<br />--------------------------------------------------<br />Source:news.yahoo.com<br /><br />

Indonesia: Students protest against rising fuel prices



Jakarta, 13 May (AKI/Jakarta Post) - Dozens of students protested in
West Sulawesi on Tuesday against government plans to raise domestic oil
prices as President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono arrived in the province on
an official visit.


The students rallied in front of Tomakaka University and hundreds
of security personnel were stationed around the campus as the
president's motorcade was expected.


According to Indonesian daily, The Jakarta Post, there was a
skirmish between the protesters and security forces when police tried
to drive the demonstrators away from the campus.


The protesters urged the government to drop its plans to raise
domestic fuel oil prices because they say any price increase will be
hardest on the destitute, who make up the majority of Indonesia`s
population.


They also asked the government to lower basic commodity prices, to
revoke laws on foreign investment, to nationalise all state assets and
to quit the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.


The Jakarta Post said President Yudhoyono faced similar student
protests when he arrived in Surabaya, East Java, to attend a National
Education Day event.


Hundreds of protesters from several universities in Surabaya waved
posters and banners, which said: "Reject fuel oil price hikes" and
"Lower prices of essential food supplies."

source:news.yahoo.com

Indonesia: Protests Spread In Indonesia Against Fuel Price Increases

JAKARTA, INDONESIA: Students angry over
impending fuel price increases protested across Indonesia on Tuesday
(13 May), showing the risks for the government as it tries to cut
subsidies amid soaring world oil prices.


The protests were small and peaceful, but the government was
watching them anxiously: earlier price hikes sparked riots and
contributed to the downfall of ex-dictator Suharto in 1998.


Students took to the streets in at least 10 cities, witnesses and media reports said.


Officials have said gasoline, diesel and kerosene prices will rise by up to 30%, likely by the end of the month.


"Reject any fuel rises," around 50 students shouted in the Javanese
town of Bandung, state news agency Antara reported. "They will only add
to the people's suffering."


Subsidies have long kept fuel products affordable for Indonesia's
millions of poor, but surging world oil prices in recent years have
meant the government can no longer afford them. Oil is currently above
US$120 a barrel.


Any rise in fuel costs will lead to knock-on hikes in prices of
food, electricity and public transportation. The government has
promised to cushion the blow to the poor by giving them cash handouts
over the coming months.


The government says it has no choice but to cut subsidies and has
pointed out that they are disproportionally enjoyed by the rich, who
currently spend just under half a dollar for a liter (0.26 gallon) of
gasoline for their cars. (AP)


Market mixed on retail, oil news

— Wall Street turned in a
mixed performance today after a fresh report on retail sales and a new
oil price record told investors the same old story: The economy is
hurting and costs are rising, but things could be worse.



The Commerce Department’s latest report showed that retail sales
fell by 0.2 percent in April, as expected. The data did show
better-than-expected sales if automobiles are excluded but indicated
that Americans are reluctant to make big-ticket purchases — especially
as soaring fuel prices cut into demand.



“The numbers are coming out weak, but the economy’s not falling
apart,” said Alexander Paris, economist and market analyst for
Chicago-based Barrington Research.



Oil prices, meanwhile, spiked to a trading record of $126.98 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after Iranian news services
reported that Iran is considering cutting output. They later settled up
$1.57 at $125.80.



Today’s wavering trading in the stock market reflected its ongoing
uncertainty about the economy. Brian Gendreau, investment strategist
for ING Investment Management, believes that investors won’t get a
clear picture until more data are released in June and July.



“We’re going to go through a period where the markets are going to
focus on the macro-data and any adverse piece of news about the credit
markets,” he said. “It will be a trendless market until the
uncertainties about a contraction in economic activity are resolved.”



According to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, turmoil in
financial markets has eased somewhat. He noted during his speech in
Atlanta that the markets for certain mortgage-backed securities, such
as those backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as some
fixed-rate mortgages and corporate debt have improved. He did say,
though, that the situation remains “far from normal.”



The Dow Jones industrial average fell 44.13, or 0.34 percent, to
12,832.18. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 0.54, or 0.04
percent, to 1,403.04, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 6.63, or 0.27
percent, to 2,495.12.



The Nasdaq got a boost as Yahoo Inc. rose after CNBC said that
investor Carl Icahn was considering a proxy fight to try to push Yahoo
back into merger talks with Microsoft Corp. Yahoo rose $1.30, or 5.2
percent, to $26.56

source:news.yahoo.com

Crude oil prices rebound


NEW YORK, May 13 (UPI) -- Crude
oil prices climbed steadily Tuesday as investors returned from a
one-day retreat from oil, which rose more than 4 percent in price a
week ago.

The price of oil closed near its record, reaching
$125.86 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange Tuesday, a gain
of $1.99 per barrel.

Heating oil prices fell 0.0039 cents in
late trading to $3.695 per gallon. The price of reformulated gasoline
blendstock rose 0.0019 cents to $3.2019 per gallon. Natural gas prices
fell 0.017 cents to $11.405 per million British thermal units.

The
price at the pump climbed to a national average record $3.732 for a
gallon of unleaded regular gasoline, up from Monday's price of $3.718 a
gallon, AAA reported.

Bush prepares to press Saudis on skyrocketing price of oil


WASHINGTON (AFP) -
As he travels to the Middle East this week, President George W. Bush is expected to press US ally Saudi Arabia to do more to contain runaway oil prices which threaten to depress both the US and world economies.
Bush departs Tuesday on his Mideast travels, with a return set for May 18.

His visit to Saudi Arabia commemorates the 75th anniversary of the formal establishment of US-Saudi relations.

The White House has said Bush will stress US concerns about soaring oil prices when he meets King Abdullah

in Saudi Arabia on May 16, and is expected to press the Saudis to boost
their oil production as a way of curbing spiraling fuel prices.

"I have made the case that the high price of oil injures economies. But
I think we better understand that there's not a lot of excess capacity
in this world right now," Bush told a press conference late last month

"Hopefully high prices will spur more exploration to bring excess
capacity on, but demand is rising faster than supply. And that's why
you're seeing global energy prices rise."

The US leader, a former oil company executive, is said to be especially
eager to avoid spiraling oil prices in the months leading up to the
November presidential election, which could scuttle presumptive
Republican candidate John McCain's hopes to succeed Bush in the White House.

"I think that if there was a magic wand, and say, okay, drop price, I'd
do that," Bush said last month. "But there is no magic wand to wave
right now."

Analysts said it was unclear that the Saudis have any more power to control the ratcheting prices than the Americans.

"If it came down to answering the question: If Saudi Arabia was able to
lower prices would they, I think the answer is yes," said James
Williams of West Texas Research Group Economics.

"The real question is, in this environment, are they able to do it? And the answer is, I don't know," he added.

Williams said that producing more oil may not prove effective in
dropping prices. But an even bigger worry than inflating oil prices, he
said, is a potentially precipitous price drop.

"If stocks build up at a time of recession, it creates the possibility of an unmanageable collapse in oil prices," he said.


"If a weak US economy was contagious and it hits Asia, oil could drop like a rock," he said.

Oil prices retreated slightly Monday, but still remained at near
historic highs. At Monday's close they were at 124.23 dollars a barrel,
down one dollar from Friday, although crude prices still remain close
to historical highs.

John Alterman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies
issued a caveat of a different sort, warning that the US president
should not be too hopeful about winning Saudi cooperation.

"In past years, the Saudis have really put themselves out to help
American presidents," Alterman said, adding that "they're not really
going to put themselves out to help this president.

Washington, he said, will be hampered by the legacy of its massive missteps in Iraq and elsewhere around the globe over the past few years.

"There is suddenly a need to hedge against US incompetence. That
changes the whole way these meetings go, and it changes what happens
when the US president says I really need you to do this," Alterman
said.

The president's Mideast trip will celebrate America's close ties with Israel
on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of the Jewish state, and will
highlight US cooperation with its Mideast allies in the fight against
global terrorism.


Bush was to meet with Israeli President Shimon Peres and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert in Israel before heading to Saudi Arabia for talks with King Abdullah.


The US leader was also to meet Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas, and deliver remarks at the World Economic Forum on the Middle East, at the Egyptian Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh.

source: news.yahoo.com

Congress in U.S votes to stop filling oil reserve

The House and Senate voted
overwhelmingly Tuesday to temporarily stop filling the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve, a response to public anger over rising oil prices as
the average price of regular unleaded gasoline nationwide hit a new
high of $3.73 per gallon.


The move was a challenge to President Bush, who had threatened to
veto the measure, saying it would do little to lower prices. But the
lopsided votes - 97-1 in the Senate and 385-25 in the House - may have
changed his mind. White House aides said Tuesday Bush would not veto
the legislation, although he still believes it will have a negligible
impact.


Lawmakers acknowledged the measure may shave just pennies off the
price of a gallon of gas, but said it is wrong to keep filling the
emergency stockpile - which is 97 percent full - while crude oil is
reaching record highs.


"We are buying the most expensive crude oil in the history of the
world and storing it," said Sen. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., chief sponsor of
the measure. "When American consumers are burning at the stake by high
energy prices, the government ought not be carrying the wood."


The votes showed how politically explosive the issue of gas prices
could be this November. Both Democratic presidential candidates, Sen.
Barack Obama of Illinois and Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York,
took a detour from the campaign trail to vote for the measure. The
presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain of
Arizona, was campaigning in the Pacific Northwest Tuesday, but supports
the measure.


Republicans shift stance


Many Republicans opposed past efforts to stop filling the reserve,
but shifted their position in response to the rapidly rising price of
oil.


"I have changed my mind on that because the increases in the price
at the pump have gotten so dramatic and so outrageous," said Sen. David
Vitter, a Louisiana Republican.


The defiance by Republicans of Bush's veto threat signaled that
lawmakers are fearful of voting against anything that could be seen as
lowering gas prices. Sen. Wayne Allard, R-Colo., who is retiring at the
end of the year, was the only senator to vote no, saying that halting
shipments to reserve without increasing supply by opening new areas to
oil drilling would be "a disservice to the American people."


The legislation would halt shipments for the rest of the year of
roughly 70,000 barrels a day into the reserve, a system of four
underground salt domes on the Gulf Coast run by the Energy Department.
The reserve currently holds about 702 million barrels of oil, an amount
equal to two months of U.S. imports. The government pays the market
price for the light crude oil it stores in the reserve.


Created in 1975


Congress created the reserve two years after the 1973 Arab oil
embargo as a way to prevent supply disruptions. Bush released oil from
the reserve in 2005 after refineries were shut by Hurricane Katrina.
Bush's father, President George H.W. Bush, ordered the first drawdown
from the reserve in 1991 in the buildup to the Gulf War.


President Bill Clinton tapped the reserve several times to help
consumers cope with rising energy prices, including releasing 30
million barrels of crude oil in September 2000, which Republicans
criticized as an effort to help Vice President Al Gore's presidential
campaign six weeks before the election.


Bush's decision not to veto the measure may have been a step to
avoid giving Democrats the publicity coup of holding another vote to
override his veto. His trip this week to Saudi Arabia to meet with
Saudi King Abdullah, leader of the world's largest oil producer, would
have given Democrats even more ammunition.


But on Tuesday his aides were still criticizing the legislation.
White House spokeswoman Dana Perino repeated Bush's view and said the
reserve should only be tapped in emergencies. She said the 70,000
barrels of oil - the equivalent of one-tenth of one percent of the
world's oil demand - would not help consumers.


"We don't believe that it would have a big enough impact on prices for anybody to really notice," Perino said.


House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who has been pressing Bush to suspend
the oil deposits, released a fact sheet Tuesday citing one analyst's
prediction that the move could lower oil prices by between 5 and 24
cents. The estimate came from Philip Verleger, an energy consultant who
headed President Jimmy Carter's Office of Domestic Energy Policy at the
Treasury Department.


Verleger has argued that even a small shift in demand by halting
U.S. government purchases of light, sweet crude - a sought-after and
easy-to-refine oil, which is used as a benchmark on the New York
Mercantile Exchange - could trigger a significant drop in the price of
oil.


More skeptical view


Other energy analysts are more skeptical. Kevin Book, senior energy
analyst for Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co., noted that in the
hour after the Senate passed the measure nearly unanimously the price
of crude oil jumped by a dollar. (The price of crude oil closed at $127
per barrel, a new record, after reports that Iran is considering
cutting its production.)


Book said, "70,000 barrels is a rounding error. It is not material in an 85.7 million barrel per day market."


Book added that it will take much more significant action - such as
increasing the supply of oil by opening up new areas in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico to drilling - for the markets to take notice. Soaring
energy prices are starting to convince more Americans to buy hybrid
cars and fuel-efficient appliances, which could reduce demand and lower
oil prices, he said.


The Senate, by a 56-42 vote, defeated a Republican measure Tuesday
that would have opened Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to
drilling and allowed states to drill off their shores. Democrats
criticized the measure, saying the country can't drill its way to
energy independence and should focus instead on conservation and
renewable energy.

Indonesian shares end morning higher on Dow's rise, easing oil price

JAKARTA (Thomson Financial) - Indonesian shares closed the morning session higher on Tuesday with investors encouraged by Wall Street's overnight rise and the easing oil price.

Coal giant Bumi Resources led the rally on news that it is planning to buy back up to $239.87 million worth of shares, equivalent to 1 percent of its capital. The company will purchase the shares at a maximum price of 11,600 rupiah over the next year.

The easing oil price helped ease market fears about the government's planned fuel price hike, said Endang Purnama, a dealer at Panin Securities.

A fuel price hike will allow the government to cut its subsidy spending, which is now increasing due to the oil price spike. Indonesia still subsidizes the prices of premium gasoline and diesel oil for transportation, and kerosene for households use.

At midday, the composite index was up 40.60 points or 1.7 percent at 2,418.61 on volume of 2.02 billion shares worth 3.0 trillion rupiah ($324 million). The LQ45 index was up 10.63 points at 519.90.

Advancers led decliners 134 to 51, while 56 stocks were unchanged.

The rupiah was trading at 9,253/9,258 to the dollar against 9,255/9,260 late Monday.

Bumi Resources gained 4.1 percent to 6,250 rupiah, while tin miner Timah rose 3.2 percent to 34,100 rupiah on hopes it will benefit from the recent rise in tin prices.

Tin rose to a new all-time high of $25,000 a tonne on Monday as traders continued to bet that lower supply from major producers China and Indonesia will cause the market to tighten later this year.

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